Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Digital payment adoption in public transportation: Mediating role of mode choice segments in developing cities

Nov-2025

Study into the adoption of digital payments for public transportation in developing cities. The study analyses and evaluates the factors influencing the adoption of of digital payments. Results found that prior use of transport, type of phone owned, internet availability and age have a significant impact on likelihood to use digital payments. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

How to measure the impact of electronic ticketing systems in local public transport? An Italian Case Study

Jun-2025

Paper intended to develop a methodology to evaluate the benefits of smart ticketing systems. Bases evaluation on 6 KPIs: Validations, Rejected Validations, Ticket Inspections, Sale of Travel Passes, Quality of Service, and Alarms. The study demonstrates this methodology in case study evaluating the Italian Region of Lombardy.

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Academic Paper Miles Noble Academic Paper Miles Noble

A less-than-ideal journey: the introduction of commercial smart ticketing for local bus services in England

May-2025

Investigation based on interviews with 61 key stakeholders into issues that arose during attempts to produce a national smart ticketing policy. Highlights governments lack of direction when drawing a balance between the development of a national policy and maintaining a "light touch" approach to transport strategy.

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Can transit apps boost ridership? An empirical study in San Antonio, Texas

May-2025

Study investigates the impact of a mobile app on bus ridership in San Antonio, Texas. Study used random effect regression models to analyse the transit app influence on ridership between 2015 and 2019, accounting for various alternative ridership influences such as fare changes, route characteristics, weather, socioeconomic conditions and the price of petrol. Research found that the app had a positive impact on ridership for infrequent routes, but had less of an impact on frequent services. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Forecasting demand fluctuations of public bus transit during special events and adverse weather conditions through smartcard data analysis

Mar-2025

Study into the impact special and weather events have on urban transport demand, making use of smart card data from 13 municipal districts in 2021 and 2022. Research found that cultural and demographic factors heavily influenced demand, implying that passenger behaviour is intricate and localised. Additionally, weather events such as rain or snow fall caused demand reductions of 8% and 37% respectively. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Investigating the changes in residential location and commute patterns during the pandemic using smartcard data

Oct-2024

Study makes use of smart card data from nearly 9 million subway users to examine the long term impacts of the pandemic on residential locations and subway users in Beijing. Research indicates a notable trend of residential relocation towards the city centre, it is also observed that those with longer commute times are increasingly attempting to reduce their commute times. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Bridging the digital divide: Consumer engagement with transportation payment apps in emerging economies

Aug-2024

Study makes use of ethnographic observation, semi-structured interviews, and the ALARA model of information search to examine consumer engagement with mobile payment apps in Lagos, Nigeria. Study finds that cultural preferences and trust in traditional payment systems significantly impact willingness to adopt mobile apps. The study recommends an inclusive technological strategy, developing accessible information channels and user-friendly design features, engaging with users to make continuous improvements to the app and adopting a nuanced understanding of socio-cultural influences on technology adoption to inform policy and business strategies. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Transit made easy - Examining the adoption and impact of mobile fare payment technology among bus riders

Apr-2024

Study into the demographics and travel behaviour of the users of a smart ticketing system. The study finds that being educated, wealthy and younger increased rates of adoption, and vice versa. The study also found that longer-term smart ticketing users travelled more for recreational activity and work than non- and new users.

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Conference Report Oscar Mansell Conference Report Oscar Mansell

A stacked BiLSTM based approach for bus passenger demand forecasting using smartcard data

Jan-2024

Report highlights the importance of demand forecasting, noting that the public transport sector is particularly vulnerable to fluctuations in consumer demand for perishable commodities. The researchers propose a method of demand forecasting for passenger transport which attains a success rate of 98.45%.

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Bus line shift behaviour: Evidence of influential factors based on smartcard data

Nov-2023

Paper makes use of smart card datasets to analyse factors that influence the behaviour in relation to bus line shift, focused on a case study of the public transport network in Belo Horizonte, Brazil. Research indicates that users are generally inclined to bus line shifts than using the same lines, with such changes ocurring more frequently during late hours and inter-peak periods compared to morning and afternoon peak hours. Additionally, regular users are more likely to change lines than occasional users, and trips with discounts and smart card usage for transfers on trips home tend to involve different lines. The study considers several policy measures for mitigating passenger discomfort associated with changing bus lines.  

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Impact of Covid on English National Concessionary Travel Journeys

Oct-2023

Report on the impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on the amount of concessionary travel taking place. Report notes a significant reduction (up to a third) in passholder journeys, with elderly people particularly affected. Additionally, whilst there was a decline of 2.6% in active passholders between 2019 and 2022, rural active passholders increased by 1.6%.

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Consultancy Report Oscar Mansell Consultancy Report Oscar Mansell

Dream Ticket? The challenges and opportunities of delivering smart ticketing in the city regions

Nov-2022

Report investigating challenges and opportunity in smart ticketing for transport projects. The report highlights challenges such as: the high number of solutions - each having advantages and disadvantages - producing a complex landscape for procurers, lack of affordability for the systems, lack of standards means multi-operator/modal systems can be challenging to produce. The report highlights willingness to engage and understand of the importance of smart ticketing by operators, central and local government as key opportunities for smart ticketing. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

AI-based neural network models for bus passenger demand forecasting using smartcard data

May-2022

Study intends to improve short -term forecasting of public transport demand, using AI-based deep learning models for prediction of bus passenger demands based on real patronage data obtained from the smartcard ticketing system in Melbourne. Study found that the models were able to predict passenger demand with over 90% accuracy.

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