Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Improving public transport through machine learning influence flow analysis (MIFA): Southern England bus case study

Apr-2025

Paper introduces  a Machine Learning Influence Flow Analysis framework intended to identify key influencers of public transport usage. Study finds that easy payments, e-ticketing and mobile applications can substantially improve public transport service. Study recommends making use of smart ticketing systems and contactless payments to enable more efficient allocation of resources, resulting in a more streamlined service that encourages increased ridership and improves user satisfaction. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Demographic disparities, service efficiency, safety and user satisfaction in public bus transit system: A survey-based case study in the City of Charlotte, NC

Dec-2024

Study concerning attitudes towards service limitations, safety concerns and technological improvements through a demographic lens. The research finds that East Charlotte residents and women face limited routes and longer wait times, black and East Charlotte residents have higher concerns about safety, there are privacy concerns among wealthier and infrequent users and there is strong preference for technological improvements, especially among infrequent users. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Making great bus journeys

Nov-2024

Report conducts an analysis on a national bus user survey to determine what bus passengers find most important to a good bus journey. The report recommends further use of franchising and enhanced bus partnerships, alongside work by local authorities to enforce measures to speed up buses to ensure they quickly and on time. The report also recommends reviews of operational and ticketing arrangements to reduce dwell time and reduce cancellations. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Better buses: Reforming bus funding

Nov-2024

Report advocating for changes to be made to the way buses are funded. The report recommends that funding should be allocated on the basis of need to reduce the funding gap between authorities, that there should be a bus service guarantee, with support provided to local authorities to ensure that it can be delivered, for long term, multi-modal funding settlements for all LTAs, to transfer all bus-related funding from the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government to the Department for Transport, and ensure it is ringfenced and transparent and requiring NHS trusts to coordinate transport provision with authorities, bus operators and community transport operators.

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Oscar Mansell Oscar Mansell

Bus Franchising: One size does not fit all

Sep-2024

Report reviews options for alternative organisation strategies for the improvement of bus services. The study highlights that the London model of bus franchising may not be appropriate for other areas, especially in smaller cities and rural regions. Additionally, the report encourages realism towards the benefits of bus franchising, noting that Brighton and Hove has a successful bus network, despite functioning on a commercial, deregulated model. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Retaining bus riders: A lifecycle longitudinal analysis of behavioural status transitions from entry to exit

Jun-2024

Using smart card data, study aims to analyse user behaviour to determine how users may begin to transition away from bus user. Study notes that users first decrease travel frequency before transitioning to irregular travel patterns. Study recommends retention policies such as tiered usage incentives and personalised communication strategies, aimed at different stages of the user life cycle. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

A Manifesto for UK Bus Services

Feb-2024

A manifesto produced to communicate demands for improved buses. Points include: decreasing greenhouse gas emissions, increasing reliability, affordability and attractiveness of bus services, staying in touch with requirements of users, taking a cross-departmental approach to transport provision, improving accessibility, inclusivity and transparency, making fares simpler and fairer, lifting restrictions on concessionary tickets, and updating the law to make transport provision a socially necessary service, along with ring-fenced funding. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

National Bus Strategy: Capacity and Capability

Dec-2023

Research conducted into the experience, technical expertise and resources available to Local Transport Authorities for the purposes of achieving the goals set out in the Bus Back Better Report. Study finds that there a number of issues in this aspect relating to lack of staff, especially in smaller LTAs, difficulties in the structure and knowledge of organisations and a reliance on short-term funding and outsourcing.

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Oscar Mansell Oscar Mansell

A Smoother Ride

Sep-2023

A report concerning how the 2017 bus services act might be used and amended to improve local bus services. Recommendations include: Updating the 2017 act to reduce the time and cost to set up a franchising model, ensuring that LTAs have operator information when needed, allowing all areas to have the same rights as MCAs to franchise services, removing restrictions on the creation of municipal bus companies, bringing together existing funding into a single devolved funding settlement and maintaining levels of bus investment through the next 5 years. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Current practices and emerging trends of transit apps for fixed-route bus services in the U.S.

Jul-2023

Study providing and overview of transit apps used by various transit agencies in the United States. The researchers conducted interviews with 21 transport industry leaders, and synthesized perceived benefits and costs to transit apps. The study identifies five existing business models and emerging trends of transit apps and aims to improve transit app knowledge and provide practical recommendations for future improvements. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Getting free passholders back on buses

Jul-2023

Report into how older and disabled free bus pass holders may be encouraged to use buses, conducted in the context of the significant drop in concessionary use that occurred post-pandemic. The report suggests two possible reasons for this decline. The first is that concessionary users are simply getting out less due to the cost of living crisis and high street closures. The second suggests that the decline is patronage is due to a decline in bus services. The report claims that coronavirus plays a limited factor in dissuading bus use, with only 7% concerned about catching the virus due to using the bus.

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Motivations and barriers to bus use

Jun-2023

Study into why people do or do not use buses. Report finds that there is a sizeable group of people who have not returned to bus use post-pandemic, buses are perceived as inconvenient, there is some interest in more bus use, the £2 cap for buses provided value-for-money for many users, and a lack of knowledge about services discourages many users.

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Oscar Mansell Oscar Mansell

7th TAS National Bus Fares Survey: 2022

Apr-2023

Analysis of survey data collected concerning bus fare data. Report looks into impact of different ticket categories (i.e. day tickets replacing, and exceeding return tickets), financial pressures on local bus services, preferences between multi-operator tickets and smartcards, reach of contactless payments, including tap-on, tap-off. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Funding local bus services in England

Jun-2022

Report in the funding of bus services. Report notes the severe impact the pandemic has had on the provision of bus services. Suggests that the current strategy has produced funding gaps, as LTAs with smaller transport teams are less capable of applying for funding. Report suggests ways this may be remedied, but ultimately recommends a substantial increase in funding for bus services.

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Oscar Mansell Oscar Mansell

Every Village, every hour - 2021 buses report

Mar-2021

Report into the viability of improving bus services in rural areas, with a focus on providing a bus every hour, seven days a week to every village. Report recommends continuing emergency bus funding, recognising a universal basic right to public transport, establishing bus regulations, providing funding in the order £2.7bn per year, redirecting road building funding towards bus provision, ensuring rural public transport is low or no cost and to investigate how England might move to a Swiss-style pulse model of transport scheduling.

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Partnership or franchising to improve bus services in two major English urban regions? An institutional analysis 

Sep-2021

Paper investigating how franchising, classified as a "formal institution", and bus partnerships, classified as an "informal institution", handle the "unintended consequences" of a deregulated market. Includes an overview of the recent history and current state of the bus market in Britain. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Back the Bus to Level Up

Sep-2021

Report into post-pandemic recovery for buses, uses models to predict different scenarios for growth in passenger volumes and vehicle kilometres after the pandemic. Advocates for funding reform to keep pace with transformation being brought forward by post-pandemic improvements. 

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