Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

AI-based neural network models for bus passenger demand forecasting using smartcard data

May-2022

Study intends to improve short -term forecasting of public transport demand, using AI-based deep learning models for prediction of bus passenger demands based on real patronage data obtained from the smartcard ticketing system in Melbourne. Study found that the models were able to predict passenger demand with over 90% accuracy.

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

The end-user benefits of smartphone transit apps: a systematic literature review

May-2022

Literature review into the studies concerning end-user benefits of transit apps for use on smartphones. Study covered the time period between 2010 and 2020. The study identified three categories of user benefits: Perception and psychological changes, time savings on trips, and travel behaviour changes. The review found that transit apps had the capability to improve perceptions of transport reliability and safety, reduce anxiety, reduce wait times and boost ridership. The study recommends future studies to adopt more rigorous study designs and methods, to study infrequent and non-riders, to consider the captive users (e.g. rural users who rely on infrequent transport services)and to make more use of empirical evidence to quantify benefits of public sector transport apps.

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Seamless public transport ticket inspection: Exploring users’ reaction to next generation ticket inspection

Apr-2022

Study investigates ticket inspection preferences and identified factors that may influence a user's likelihood of accepting "seamless" ticket inspection. Study found that, given the five inspection options, women and young people selected "seamless ticket inspection". The study recommends further research on aspects surrounding "seamless ticket inspection".

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Survey of automated fare collection systems in public transportation

Apr-2022

Study conducts a comprehensive literature review to understand the state of public transportation and to facilitate the development and implementation of automated fare collection solutions. In summary, the paper considers developing and implementing automated fare collection solutions to have a positive impact on customer experience, the emergence of new business models and the reduction of polluting emissions. 

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Oscar Mansell Oscar Mansell

Every Village, every hour - 2021 buses report

Mar-2021

Report into the viability of improving bus services in rural areas, with a focus on providing a bus every hour, seven days a week to every village. Report recommends continuing emergency bus funding, recognising a universal basic right to public transport, establishing bus regulations, providing funding in the order £2.7bn per year, redirecting road building funding towards bus provision, ensuring rural public transport is low or no cost and to investigate how England might move to a Swiss-style pulse model of transport scheduling.

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Unravelling individual mobility patterns using longitudinal smartcard data

Mar-2022

Study intends to identify distinctive market segments in terms of habitual temporal travel patterns of public transport users, making use of smart card data from more than  3 million smart card holders in Stockholm County, Sweden. The study classified 10 day-of-the-week comparisons, as well as 5 hour-by-hour weekly profiles. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Examining the effect of integrated ticketing on mode choice for interregional commuting: Studies among car users

Feb-2022

Study on the extent to which car commuters are likely to use public transport following the implementation of integrated ticketing. Study finds integrated does promote transport use, especially among male car commuters. Study suggests integrated ticketing should take greater role in efforts to induce public transport use.  

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Partnership or franchising to improve bus services in two major English urban regions? An institutional analysis 

Sep-2021

Paper investigating how franchising, classified as a "formal institution", and bus partnerships, classified as an "informal institution", handle the "unintended consequences" of a deregulated market. Includes an overview of the recent history and current state of the bus market in Britain. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Big data for big issues: Revealing travel patterns of low-income population based on smartcard data mining in a global south unequal city

Sep-2021

Study makes use of smart card data mining to compare the urban transit movements of low income residents with middle/high income residents. Research finds that most lower income residents start their journey between 05:00 - 07:00, whilst higher income residents start between 07:00 - 09:00. Paper suggests that the empirical evidence from this paper shows the potential of smart card data to infold low employment spatial and temporal patterns.

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Back the Bus to Level Up

Sep-2021

Report into post-pandemic recovery for buses, uses models to predict different scenarios for growth in passenger volumes and vehicle kilometres after the pandemic. Advocates for funding reform to keep pace with transformation being brought forward by post-pandemic improvements. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Supporting local authorities to improve local use and expand zero emission bus provision

Sep-2021

Report into how the Bus Back Better strategy might be achieved. The report finds that the capacity and capability to deliver the strategy varies greatly between authorities, that it is unclear how zero emission vehicle standards will be enforced in local authorities which have enhanced partnerships, that there is uncertainty about funding cycles, making local authorities postpone investment decisions and that there are gaps in knowledge concerning the acquisition of zero emission buses.

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Oscar Mansell Oscar Mansell

Mining metro commuting mobility patterns using massive smartcard data

Aug-2021

Study develops a method to mine metro commuting mobility patterns via massive smart card data. Study found that metro commuters accounted for 41% of morning peak traffic in Chongqing, discovering three typical job-housing function patterns and three commute efficiency patterns are discovered, with the characteristics of each being mined. 

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Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell Advocacy Report Oscar Mansell

Will there be space on board?

Apr-2021

Study analysing the results of a 5000 person passenger survey into attitudes towards how busy public transport services are. Provides recommendations towards providing information about how busy services are to allow passengers, to allow them to make decisions about when and how they travel. 

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Academic Paper Oscar Mansell Academic Paper Oscar Mansell

Examining public transport usage by older adults with smartcard data: a longitudinal study in Japan

Apr-2021

Study investigates public transport usage by older adults in Shizuoka, Japan, using smart card data to develop user-monthly profiles to explore seasonal variability and day-to-day variability. Research finds that older adults in the younger group (65-74) and in highly developed areas were more likely to frequently use public transport, with little seasonal variation. Additionally, day-to-day variability seems to increase with age and level of area development.  

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